North Yorkshire Council

Selby and Ainsty Area Constituency Committee

26 April 2024

Schools, educational achievement and finance

1.0 1.1

Purpose of the Report To inform Members of the local educational landscape, educational achievement and the financial challenges which affect schools in the Selby & Ainsty constituency committee area.

2.0 Local educational landscape

2.1 There are now 21 primary academies and 5 secondary academies within the Selby and Ainsty constituency area.  The academy conversion rate for primary schools is similar within the constituency area when compared to the county as a whole (41.2% compared to 39.1% in North Yorkshire.) The academy conversion rate for secondary schools is higher (83.3% compared to 67.4% in North Yorkshire).

Summary of schools’ status – 1 February 2024

	Schools in North Yorkshire		Schools in Selby and Ainsty ACC
Primary Maintained	181	60.9%	30	58.8%
Primary Academy & Free School	116	39.1%	21	41.2%
Total	297		51
Secondary Maintained	14	32.6%	1	16.7%
Secondary Academy	29	67.4%	5	83.3%
Total	43		6
Special Maintained	6	60%	0
Special Academy	4	40%	0
Total	10		0
PRU Maintained	4	80%	1	100%
PRU Academy	1	20%	0	0%
Total	5		1
Total maintained Total Academy Overall Total	205 150 355	57.7% 42.3%	32 26 58	55.2% 44.8%

3.1 School Ofsted judgements

In the constituency area, as of January 2024, 84.3% of primary schools were judged Good or Outstanding by Ofsted, which was below the North Yorkshire and National rates. In terms of secondary schools, 66.7% were judged Good or Outstanding, lower than the North Yorkshire and National averages. Overall, there were 9 schools judged ‘requires improvement’, 1 is ‘inadequate’ in the constituency area. 

At the time of writing, 6 of the 10 North Yorkshire Maintained Special Schools were recorded as either ‘Good’ or ‘Outstanding’ and all of the 5 Alternative Provision schools (AP) were recorded as ‘Good’. As of the most recent Ofsted inspections in the area, The Rubicon Centre (AP) was graded as ‘Good’ at the most recent Alternative Provision inspection.

In 2023, 97% (36 of 37) of the Childcare establishments (childcare in non-domestic premises) which have had an Ofsted inspection in the constituency were ‘Good’ or ‘Outstanding’. The rate in North Yorkshire was 94% at the same time.

3.3 Attainment overall

For two years, exams and assessments in schools did not take place because of the disruption to students’ education caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. In 2020 GCSEs, AS and A level exams faced widespread cancellation and were replaced with a grading process involving teacher/ centre assessment.  Similarly, summer 2021 assessments were awarded based on teacher or centre assessment and no statistical adjustment processes were used. Overall, final grades were significantly higher in both 2020 and 2021 than in 2019.

 The Government allowed GCSEs, AS and A Level and equivalent assessments and exams to go ahead in England in summer 2022, and has made some changes to general, vocational and technical qualifications (VTQs). Additionally, school-level performance (league) tables were re-introduced for the end of the GCSE phase (key stage 4) in 2022; school-level information for secondary phase was not published during either 2020 or 2021.

It is important to emphasise that direct comparisons with outcomes from previous years need to be made with the pandemic in mind, as pupils will have had disrupted learning during this period. Apart from this factor, there have also been several changes to exams and grading. As such, the DfE have recommended that caution is exercised when making comparisons with previous years.

In primary schools, performance across North Yorkshire at Early Years (Early Years Foundation Stage Profile) has continued to be above national benchmarks and is beginning to approach attainment seen before the pandemic. Attainment of children at Key Stage 2 however is down slightly on previous years, it is clear that national attainment is yet to recover from the impact of the pandemic.

Initial data is now available for Key Stage 4, giving us an overview of attainment of pupils leaving Year 11 in 2023. Attainment across the country at this Key Stage has fallen compared to last year. In North Yorkshire, attainment appears to have returned to pre-pandemic levels and is now very similar to National attainment levels.

3.4 Early Years Foundation Stage Profile (EYFSP)

In 2023, 72.3% of children in the constituency area achieved a Good Level of Development. An in-year comparison of EYFSP outcomes with LA and national figures (see table below) shows that a lower proportion of pupils within the constituency area achieved a good level of development compared with all NYC pupils but higher than national.

Early Years Foundation Stage Profile – percentage achieving a good level of development
	Selby and Ainsty	North Yorks	National
2018	76.10%	72.50%	71.60%
2019	75.70%	72.80%	71.80%
2022	70.50%	68.30%	65.20%
2023	72.30%	79.30%	67.20%

3.5 Key Stage 2

In 2023, 61.7% of children in the constituency area achieved the expected level or above in reading, writing and maths combined, which is above the North Yorkshire average and the national average. An in-year comparison of KS2 attainment with LA and national figures is shown in the table below.

Key Stage 2 - percentage achieving the expected standard or above in reading, writing and maths combined.
	Selby and Ainsty	North Yorkshire	National
2018	65.80%	62.10%	64.40%
2019	68.00%	63.40%	64.90%
2022	60.20%	56.60%	58.70%
2023	61.70%	56.10%	59.60%

3.6 Key Stage 4

Although Key Stage 4 data has been published by the DfE it has not yet been validated at individual school level. Therefore, all data in this section of the report should be considered provisional.

The average Attainment 8 score, which measures the achievement of a pupil across eight qualifications, was 47.4 for 2023. This is above the North Yorkshire average and the national average.  Attainment 8 scores at Key Stage 4 have fallen nationally to 46.2 (from 48.8 in the 2021/22 academic year). We have seen a similar picture in North Yorkshire, with Attainment 8 scores falling to 46.7 (from 50.3).

KS4 – Average Attainment 8 Score
	Selby and Ainsty	North Yorkshire	National
2018	46.4	48.5	48.5
2019	47.6	48.7	48.7
2022	49.9	50.3	48.8
2023	47.4	46.7	46.2

The Progress 8 score, which measures a pupil’s progress from the end of primary school to the end of secondary school, was above the North Yorkshire average in 2023. A comparison of the Progress 8 scores for schools within the Selby and Ainsty constituency area against county-wide is shown below.

KS4 – Average Progress 8 Score
	Selby and Ainsty	North Yorkshire	National
2018	0.03	0.13	-0.02
2019	0.12	0.10	-0.03
2022	0.15	0.03	-0.03
2023	0.05	0.01	-0.03

The percentage achieving a grade 5 or above (grading is 9-1) in English and Maths (Basics measure) was 48.2% for 2023. This is above the national and the North Yorkshire average in 2023.

KS4 – Percentage achieving a grade 5 or above in English and Maths
	Selby and Ainsty	North Yorkshire	National
2018	45.9%	48.0%	43.3%
2019	48.3%	47.4%	43.2%
2022	52.7%	53.8%	49.8%
2023	48.2%	45.7%	45.0%

3.7 Not in education, employment or training

There were 915 young people recorded in Year 11 living in this constituency in May 2023 and of this cohort only 14 (1.5%) were not in education, employment or training after leaving school as of January 2024.

4.0 Suspension Incidents and Permanent Exclusions

4.1      Suspension Incidents

In the 2022/23 academic year, there have been a total of 7639 suspensions for a total of 2753 individual children in North Yorkshire. 372 of these children were on roll of mainstream schools in the Selby and Ainsty constituency area.

In 2021/22, there were 5197 Suspensions for a total of 2046 individual children, 264 of these children were on roll of mainstream schools in the Selby and Ainsty constituency area.

Suspension Incidents
	Pupils suspended		Total Suspensions
Academic year	North Yorkshire	Selby and Ainsty (mainstream)	North Yorkshire	Selby and Ainsty (mainstream)	Percentage of North Yorkshire total (incidents)	Most common reason (Skipton and Ripon)
2018/19	2149	277	5970	650	10.89%	Persistent disruptive behaviour (45.0%)
2019/20	1578	216	4365	503	11.52%	Persistent disruptive behaviour (47.6%)
2020/21	1578	271	3553	563	15.85%	Persistent disruptive behaviour (49.3%)
2021/22	2046	264	5197	818	15.74%	Persistent disruptive behaviour (50.0%)
2022/23	2753	372	7639	1061	14%	Persistent disruptive behaviour (46.3%)

In 2022/23, schools in the constituency area had a 17% share of the total schools’ population in North Yorkshire and had a 14% share of suspensions for the whole county.

4.2      Permanent exclusions

In 2022/23, there were 96 permanent exclusions from all schools in the county, 14 of which were for children in Selby and Ainsty mainstream schools. In the same period of 2021/22, there were 55 permanent exclusions, 12 of which were from the Selby and Ainsty area.

Academic year	Selby and Ainsty	North Yorkshire	Percentage of North Yorkshire total
2018/19	15	87	17%
2019/20	5	51	9.80%
2020/21	1	26	3.85%
2021/22	12	55	21.82%
2022/23	14	96	15%

4.3 Responding to increasing exclusion from schools

From September 2020 a preventative model of alternative provision was commissioned to enhance support for schools in avoiding permanent exclusions and the model is continuing to be refined.

The Inclusion service is continuing to ensure that permanently excluded pupils are receiving the support they need to return to school and the curriculum offered at alternative provision is improving as part of a mainstream school model. 

Training is continuing to be offered to schools for pupils with Social, Emotional and Mental Health needs, as part of a commitment to support schools in adopting more inclusive practices.

Two support pathways have also been introduced to reduce and prevent exclusions from schools. The Pupil Support Pathway is used to identify risks of multiple or permanent exclusion and professionals are becoming involve earlier to address difficulties. The School Support Pathway has been implemented to support and challenge schools which are identified as having the highest exclusion rates in the county.

The SEND and Alternative Provision Improvement Plan was published by the government in 2023. The plan was presented as a roadmap for improving inclusion in mainstream schools within a national system but it also acknowledged the role of Alternative Provision (AP) as an intervention rather than a destination for children excluded from mainstream. It also identified preventative approaches similar to the North Yorkshire approach. We can expect the plan to be rolled out as part of a national system in the coming years.

5.0      Special Education Needs and Disabilities

5.1 SEN Statistics for Constituency Area

867 in constituency children with a North Yorkshire funded EHC plan (January 2024) 18% of the North Yorkshire total. The most common needs are:

· Autism (32%)

· Social Emotional and Mental Health (SEMH, 21%)

· Moderate Learning Difficulty (MLD, 16%)

1716 in constituency with SEN Support in North Yorkshire schools, 2023 School Census (January) 16.8% of the North Yorkshire total. The most common needs are:

· Moderate Learning Difficulty (MLD, 22%)

· Social Emotional and Mental Health (SEMH, 21%)

· Specific Learning Difficulties (e.g. Dyslexia), 19%

5.2 Increasing demand for Education, Health and Care plans (EHC plans)

The continuing rise in new EHC plans being issued by North Yorkshire Council is a consequence of an increasing demand for assessments seen during the course of previous years, a trend which reflects the national picture.

2023 saw the highest number of requests for assessment for an EHC plan since EHC plans were introduced. A total of 1275 requests were received by North Yorkshire Council in 2023, this is a circa 30% increase on the total received in 2022. 198 (15.5%) were for children or young people living in the constituency in 2023, a circa. 16% increase on the 170 in 2022.

At the time of writing, there were circa 600 requests either awaiting a decision to assess, a decision to issue an EHC plan or awaiting the finalising of a plan. At the same point last year, there were circa 300 in process. This rise in requests in process is at least partly due to the difficulty in gathering required information for decisions on EHC plan assessments, owing to an acute national shortage of Educational Psychologists (EPs) available.

North Yorkshire Council’s approach to the challenge has involved the contracting of agencies in addressing a backlog in receiving advice from Educational Psychologist services. There has also been a successful recruitment drive in 2024 with the appointment of a new principal EP and a number of part-time and trainee EPs. This is expected to have a consequent effect of an upturn in overall timeliness in final plans being issued towards through the year.

5.3 SEND provision

 Providing appropriate provision to children and young people with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND) has become an area of increasing pressure on resources in local authorities throughout the country. The government has acknowledged these delivery pressures and released the SEND and Alternative Provision Improvement Plan in 2023 to address this and a Delivering Better Value (DBV) programme was announced as part of a best practice approach to sustainable provision for children with high needs.

North Yorkshire has participated in the DBV programme as part of a wider inclusion plan which aims to bring positive change for SEND services. The aim of the programme is to identify changes that will make the biggest difference in getting better outcomes and to help council’s use their resources in .the most efficient way. Progress against these aims will continue to be monitored.

6.0 Elective Home Education

As of the beginning of the 2023/24 academic year there were 817 children recorded as Electively Home Educated (EHE) in North Yorkshire, 133 of which were formerly from a mainstream school in Selby and Ainsty ACC. At the same point last year, there were 813 children EHE in North Yorkshire, 151 formerly from a mainstream school in Selby and Ainsty constituency area. 

In the 2022/23 academic year, 482 children became EHE in North Yorkshire, 60 of which were formerly educated in a mainstream school in the Selby and Ainsty constituency area. This figure in the previous academic year (2021/22) was 59 from Selby and Ainsty out of 452 becoming EHE in North Yorkshire.

7.0 School Finance

7.1 2022/2023 School Revenue Balances

Local Authority maintained school revenue balances as at 31 March 2023 are summarised below, together with a comparison with 2022. The balances are also expressed as a percentage of school delegated budgets. 

	Primary & Nursery 170 schools	Secondary 15 schools	Special 6 schools	Pupil Referral Unit 4 schools	Total 195 schools
Total School Revenue Balances (Net) as at 31 March 2023	£15,054k	-£973k	-£887k	£753k	£13,947k
% of Revenue Budget	12.4%	-1.7%	-5.6%	31.4%	7.1%
No. Schools with an Accumulated Revenue Budget Surplus as at 31 March 2023	149	10	2	3	164
No. Schools with an Accumulated Revenue Budget Deficit as at 31 March 2023	21	5	4	1	31
Comparison to total school revenue balance (net) as at 31 March 2022	-£1,368k	-£770k	-£75k	-£68k	-£2,281k

(The number of school budgets submitted to the local authority for 2022/23 is lower than the total number of local authority maintained schools operating within North Yorkshire due to a number of school federations operating a single, amalgamated budget covering all of the schools within the federation)

31 schools (16% of LA Maintained schools) had an accumulated revenue budget deficit totalling £6.6M as at 31 March 2023. An analysis of the budget deficits by school phase is detailed in the table below:

	Primary & Nursery	Secondary	Special	Pupil Referral Unit	Total
No. Schools with an Accumulated Revenue Budget Deficit as at 31 March 2023	21	5	4	1	31
Total School Revenue Deficit Balances as at 31 March 2023	-£1,078k	-£3,363k	-£2,027k	-£95k	-£6,563k
Average Value of Accumulated Revenue Budget Deficit as at 31 March 2023	-£51k	-£673k	-£507k	-£95k	-£212k
Highest Accumulated Revenue Budget Deficit as at 31March 2023	-£216k	-£998k	-£1,587k	-£95k	-£1,587k
Lowest Accumulated Revenue Budget Deficit as at 31 March 2023	-£1.3k	-£141k	-£18k	-£95k	-£1.3k

7.2 School Budget Projections - Based on 2023/24 Revised budgets

The 2023/24 Revised Budgets submitted to the local authority by schools in December 2023 are summarised below:

	Primary & Nursery 163 schools	Secondary 14 schools	Special 6 schools	Pupil Referral Unit 4 schools	Total 187 schools
Total Forecast School Revenue Balances (Net) as at 31 March 2024	£11,820k	-£1,393k	-£888k	£593k	£10,132k
No. Schools with an Accumulated Forecast Revenue Budget Surplus as at 31 March 2024	138	7	3	3	151
Average Value of Accumulated Forecast Revenue Budget Surplus as at 31 March 2024	£96k	£307k	£381k	£204k	£113k
No. Schools with an Accumulated Forecast Budget Deficit as at 31 March 2024	25	7	3	1	36
Average Value of Accumulated Forecast Revenue Budget Deficit as at 31 March 2024	-£55k	-£506k	-£677k	-£19k	-£194k
Comparison to total school revenue balance as at 31^st March 2023	-£3,234k	-£420k	-£1k	-£160k	-£3,815k

(The overall number of individual school budgets have reduced from 195 to 187 between the 2022/23 and 2023/24 financial years due to 2 schools moving to operate within a joint budget Federation, 5 schools converting to academy status and 1 school closing).

7.3 School Finance and Funding Issues

· The Department for Education (DfE) provided revised 2024/25 school funding information on 6 October 2023 after the identification of an error made by DfE officials during the initial calculations of the NFF and processing of forecast pupil numbers. Nationally, the overall cost of the core schools budget is 0.62% greater than allocated resulting in the funding through the mainstream schools national funding formula (NFF) increasing by 1.9% per pupil in 2024-25, compared to 2023-24; the original increase announced in July 2023 was 2.7% per pupil.

· School budgets have experienced significant cost pressures in the 2023/24 financial year. Cost pressures include:

- Pay award cost pressures. The September 2023 teachers pay award was 6.5%, with school budgets being required to meet the initial 3.5% cost and the DfE providing additional grant funding to cover the cost in excess of 3.5%. The 2023/24 support staff pay award of £1,925 on non-teaching salary points 2 – 43 (equates to a 9.42% increase for staff on the lowest salary point) is a particularly cost pressure for schools in relation to classroom support staff.

- Energy inflation cost pressures of 100%

- Overall inflationary pressures of 10.1%

- Cost pressures associated with supporting an increasing number of pupils with additional SEND support needs.

- Below forecast inflation increases in school funding provided by Government for the 2023/24 and 2024/25 financial years.

· North Yorkshire secondary schools are placed 141 out of 150 local authorities in terms of funding level per pupil. On average, a school in North Yorkshire will receive £5,994 per pupil in 2023-24 compared to a national average of £6,542. Comparing the funding for a 1,500 pupil secondary school this equates to a difference in funding of £0.82m. The funding for North Yorkshire primary schools is more favourable with a position 32 out of 150 local authorities in terms of the funding level per pupil.  For primary schools, a North Yorkshire school will receive on average £5,125 per pupil compared to a national average of £5,014. The average funding position in relation to primary schools in North Yorkshire is influenced by the levels of the lump sum and sparsity funding received through the DfE National Funding Formula by the relatively high number of small, rural  primary schools within the local authority area.

· North Yorkshire has a number of schools that, geographically, are vital in serving their local communities. Inadequate sparsity funding and general financial pressures for smaller, rural secondary schools, continues to be a significant concern.  NYC utilises the provision in the DfE National Funding Formula (NFF) to locally provide additional lump sum funding of £50k for the smallest (less than 350 pupils), most rural secondary schools. NYC continues to lobby the DfE and local MPs for higher levels of funding for the small, rural secondary schools within the LA.

7.4 Local Authority Support for Schools in Financial Difficulty

· The Local Authority adopts a number of measures to support schools facing financial difficulty:

- the use of a financial risk rating framework to determine the level of support, challenge and intervention undertaken at individual school level,

-   the escalation path for financial intervention including the use of Notices of Financial Concern, where deemed appropriate. Currently, eight schools are subject to a Notice of Financial Concern.

- the undertaking of School Resource Management reviews in individual schools where this has been identified as an appropriate intervention through the risk rating process. The reviews are based on the DfE School Resource Management Adviser (SRMA) model and are undertaken by LA staff, many of whom have the SRMA accreditation

-    continuing to undertake research into small school financial effectiveness to identify and share best practice 

- review of the Schools Financial Value Standard (SFVS) and Resource Management dashboard in financially challenged schools

- continuing the promotion of school collaboration and the sharing of best practice in terms of effective resource management between schools

- the provision of Headteacher and Governor finance briefings and training

- continuing to lobby DfE for fairer funding for North Yorkshire schools, especially in relation to small, rural secondary schools.

· In July 2023, the DfE announced the provision of up to £40 million of additional funding in 2023/2024, to support individual schools which find themselves in particular financial difficulties. Of the £40 million, £20 million has been provided to local authorities which have the most significant maintained school deficits. The distribution of the £20 million is targeted and not every local authority will receive additional funding. The DfE have allocated the £20 million between local authorities who have aggregated school-level deficits as a proportion of their total maintained schools’ income above 1%. At the end of October 2023, the DfE announced that North Yorkshire Council will receive a funding allocation of £972k. The DfE have stated the funding is one-off for the 2023-24 financial year only; there are no plans for the funding to continue for 2024-25. The local authority has developed proposed eligibility criteria and an associated funding allocation methodology for the distribution of the funding to schools in financial difficulty.  These proposals will be considered by the Executive in mid-March 2024.

7.5 Schools Financial Position – Selby & Ainsty

2022/23 21 schools projecting to be in budget surplus as at 31 March 2023 9 schools projecting to be in deficit by March 2023; 30% of schools in Selby & Ainsty (9 primary) Projected average primary surplus = £131k Projected average secondary surplus = £405k Projected average PRU surplus = £83k Projected average primary deficit = -£43k Projected average secondary deficit = N/A Projected average PRU deficit = N/A (Data Source – 2023/24 Revised Budgets)

2023/24 22 schools projecting to be in budget surplus as at 31 March 2024 8 schools projecting to be in deficit by March 2024; 27% of schools in Selby & Ainsty (8 primary) Projected average primary surplus = £113k Projected average secondary surplus = £333k Projected average PRU surplus = £50k Projected average primary deficit = -£66k Projected average secondary deficit = N/A Projected average PRU deficit = N/A (Data Source – 2023/24 Revised Budgets)

8.0 Planning school places

8.1 School sustainability

The sustainability of schools is largely influenced by three key factors which are usually related to each other:

· Falling pupil rolls

· School standards

· Financial difficulty

Where school closures have regrettably occurred in North Yorkshire these factors have been relevant. There have been seven closures in the county over the last three years but none within the constituency area.

8.3 Pupil rolls – current and future

The Council has a statutory duty to ensure sufficient school places are available for every child under the Education Act 1996. For this purpose, it groups schools together into planning areas in accordance with the requirements of the Education and Skills Funding Agency. Appendix 1 shows the planning areas together with:

· Capacity in the planning area

· Current numbers on roll

· Projected future numbers

· Projected impact of approved housing developments

8.4 The Council is carefully monitoring pupil growth from new housing, providing new school places in areas of growth across the Selby and Ainsty area. Recent schemes have included the expansions at Sherburn Hungate and Athelstan Primary School in Sherburn-in-Elmet, Hambleton CE and at Staynor Hall Academy. The following projects are currently underway or planned, which will be funded through a combination of Basic Need grant and developer contributions (where available).

8.5 Barlby Primary area - Additional capacity is under construction at Barlby CP (80 places), with work expected to be completed in summer 2024.

8.6 Boroughbridge Primary outer area – The LA has requested that provision be made for two primary school sites within the proposed new settlement at Maltkiln near Hammerton and Cattal. However, it is not expected that the size of the overall development would generate sufficient pupils to require the provision of a new secondary school. It is intended that Boroughbridge High School would be expanded to meet the anticipated growth in secondary pupils from the development. However, safeguarded land for secondary provision is indicated within proposals for Maltkiln, should this be required in the future.

8.7 Knaresborough Primary outer area – A site for education provision has been secured at Manse Farm to primarily serve the Manse Farm development in Knaresborough and the proposed Highfield Farm development. Planning approval was secured in 2020. It is intended that the new school (with nursery provision) will be a free school (a state-funded school, operating as an academy, independent of the local authority). Elevate Multi Academy Trust has been appointed to run the new primary school. Through the ‘presumption route’ process, NYC is responsible for delivery and funding of the school using a combination of Basic Need Grant and developer contributions.

The age range of the school will be 3-11, providing places for 210 pupils (one form of entry) with the ability to expand to 420 places (two forms of entry) should that be required in the future. The school will provide places for boys and girls (mixed).   The Council continues to actively encourage the third parties to resolve the issues that are preventing the transfer of the school land to the Council. Only when this is achieved would the Council be able to review and confirm its plans for the proposed school.

8.8 Sherburn Primary and Sherburn Primary outer areas – Pupil numbers are being closely monitored following recent housing growth in Sherburn in Elmet and Church Fenton, and the completion of the major extension to Sherburn Hungate Primary Academy in summer 2021.

8.9 Selby Local Plan - The Service has highlighted the potential need for new primary schools to serve future housing developments in the site allocations at Cross Hills Lane, Selby and at land west of Kellington Lane, Eggborough, as well as potential expansions of existing primary and secondary schools elsewhere in the district.

9.0 Recommendation

9.1 That Members note the report on educational factors in the Selby and Ainsty constituency area.

Authors: Amanda Newbold (Assistant Director – Education and Skills), Howard Emmett (Assistant Director – Strategic Resources), Janet Crawford (Assistant Director – Inclusion), Jon Holden (Strategic Planning Manager)

Appendix 1 - School Place Planning data

Planning Areas and forecast surplus/shortfall school places

School planning area *School located in a neighbouring constituency area	Places available as at 2023/ 2024	Number on Roll 2019/ 2020	Number on roll 2023/ 2024	Surplus Capacity 2023/ 2024	Forecast pupils as at 2028/2029	Pupils from current housing permissions until 2028/2029	Surplus capacity 2028/ 2029
PRIMARY
Selby Primary Area Barwic Parade CP Selby Abbey CE Selby CP Longman’s Hill CP St Mary’s Catholic Staynor Hall Barlby Bridge CP	1982	1649	1619	363	1598	99	285
Selby Primary Outer North Central Primary Cawood CE Escrick CE Riccall CP Wistow CE	684	580	636	48	664	13	7
Selby Outer Area East Primary Barlby Primary Cliffe VC Hemingbrough CP North Duffield CP	818	728	683	135	676	10	132
Selby Outer Area South Central Primary Brayton CE Hambleton CE Thorpe Willoughby CP	945	771	784	161	814	32	99
Selby Outer Area South East Primary Barlow CE Camblesforth CP Carlton Primary	420	281	323	97	325	19	76
Selby Outer Area South West Primary Chapel Haddlesey CE Hensall CP Kirk Smeaton CE Whitley & Eggborough CP	581	530	529	52	525	9	47
Total	5430	4539	4574	856	4602	182	646
School planning area *School located in a neighbouring constituency area	Places available as at 2023/ 2024	Number on Roll 2019/ 2020	Number on roll 2023/ 2024	Surplus Capacity 2023/ 2024	Forecast pupils as at 2028/2029	Pupils from current housing permissions until 2028/2029	Surplus capacity 2028/ 2029
Sherburn Primary Sherburn Hungate Primary  Athelstan CP South Milford Primary	1050	785	937	113	994	47	9
Sherburn Outer North Primary Barkston Ash Catholic Kirk Fenton CE Saxton CE	419	406	429	-10	423	51	-55
Sherburn Outer South Primary Brotherton & Byram CP Burton Salmon CP Fairburn CP Kellington Primary Monk Fryston CE	679	594	596	83	616	21	42
Total	2148	1785	1962	186	2033	119	-4
Tadcaster Primary Riverside School Tadcaster Primary Academy St Joseph’s Catholic Primary	721	567	515	206	461	4	256
Tadcaster Primary Outer Appleton Roebuck Primary	105	112	111	-6	121	1	-17
Total	826	679	626	200	582	5	239
Boroughbridge Primary Outer Area Dishforth Airfield CP* Great Ouseburn CP Green Hammerton CE Kirk Hammerton CE Marton-cum-Grafton CE* Nun Monkton Primary St Peter’s Brafferton CE* Staveley CP*	784	551	574	210	562	67	155
Knaresborough Primary Outer Area Goldsborough CE Long Marston CE Scotton Lingerfield Primary* Tockwith CE	493	428	427	66	423	53	17
School planning area *School located in a neighbouring constituency area	Places available as at 2023/ 2024	Number on Roll 2019/ 2020	Number on roll 2023/ 2024	Surplus Capacity 2023/ 2024	Forecast pupils as at 2028/2029	Pupils from current housing permissions until 2028/2029	Surplus capacity 2028/ 2029
Harrogate Primary Outer Area All Saint’s CE School Askwith CP* Beckwithshaw CP* Birstwith CE* Admiral Long CE* Darley CP* Follifoot CE Hampsthwaite CE* Kettlesing Felliscliffe CP* Killinghall CE* North Rigton CE* Ripley Endowed* Sicklinghall CE Spofforth CE	1377	1198	1076	301	984	178	215
SECONDARY
Selby Secondary Barlby High School Brayton Academy Holy Family Catholic High School, Carlton Selby High School	3627	2642	2897	730	2961	94	572
Sherburn & Tadcaster Sherburn High School Tadcaster Grammar	2611	2325	2381	230	2580	71	-40

Note

· School planning areas are groups of schools which are used for assessing current and future pupil demand for school place provision and structured according to DfE guidelines.

· Figures above take into account outstanding housing permissions, but not undetermined planning applications or draft Local Plan proposals. Pupil yield from housing is based on 25% for primary aged pupils and 13% for secondary aged pupils.